Latitude influences stability via stabilizing mechanisms in naturally-assembled forest ecosystems at different spatial grains

Abstract

Ecosystem stability reveals how ecosystems respond to global change over time. Yet, the focus of past research on small spatial grains and extents overlooks scale dependence and how broad-scale environmental gradients shape stability. Here, we use forest inventory data covering a broad latitudinal gradient from the temperate to the tropical zone to examine cross-scale variation in stability of aboveground biomass and underlying stabilizing mechanisms. While stability did not shift systematically with latitude at either spatial grain, we found evidence that species asynchrony increased towards the tropics at the small spatial grain while species stability decreased at both spatial grains. Moreover, latitude stabilized forest communities via its effects on both stabilizing mechanisms, which compensated for the weak and destabilizing effects of species richness. Yet, the trade-off in the relative importance of species stability and species asynchrony for stability was not mediated by latitude, suggesting that context-dependent factors - to a greater extent than macroecological ones - underlie large-scale patterns of stability. Our results highlight the crucial role of species asynchrony and species stability in determining ecosystem stability across broad-scale environmental gradients, suggesting that conserving biodiversity alone may not be sufficient for stabilizing naturally-assembled forest ecosystems.