Misclassification of heritable mortality undermines estimates of intrinsic life span heritability
Abstract
In a recent article in Science, Shenhar et al. report that human life span heritability reaches [~]55% after removing "extrinsic" mortality, roughly seven-fold higher than recent large pedigree estimates. This conclusion rests on classifying deaths from infections and accidents as environmental noise independent of genetics. This premise is biologically untenable: susceptibility to severe infection is substantially heritable, with adoptee studies showing relative risks exceeding 5 for infection death when a biological parent died of infection. By encoding the assumption that extrinsic mortality is non-genetic directly into their Gompertz-Makeham model, removing it necessarily inflates heritability estimates. This creates selection bias rather than correcting for confounding and explains the contradiction with both pedigree studies and GWAS findings. The proposed heritability estimate is therefore not the true heritability of any population, past or present.
02 /Specification & Classification
Click any tag to browse matching papers- Citations
- 1
- Organism
- Approach
Reproducibility ledger
Nobody has reported trying to reproduce this paper yet. Did you replicate an experiment or run the code? Your report saves the next lab a week.
Sign in to file a reproducibility report.
Related papers
- Heritability of human lifespan is about 50% when confounding factors are addressed
Ben Shenhar, Glen Pridham, … Uri S. Alon·bioRxiv·Apr 20, 2025
- Omitted familial extrinsic risk inflates inferred intrinsic lifespan heritability
Sergey A. Kornilov·bioRxiv·Apr 6, 2026
- Does extrinsic mortality accelerate the pace of life? A bare-bones approach
J.-B. Andre, F. Rousset·bioRxiv·Mar 16, 2020
- On negative heritability and negative estimates of heritability
David Steinsaltz, Andy W. Dahl, Kenneth W. Wachter·GeneticsPeer-reviewed·Apr 14, 2020
- Demographic determinants of biometric heritability
Julia A. Barthold, Floriane Plard, … Shripad Tuljapurkar·bioRxiv·Jul 17, 2018
- Extrinsic mortality and senescence: a guide for the perplexed
C. de Vries, M. Galipaud, H. Kokko·bioRxiv·Jan 27, 2022