Engineered balanced lethal systems for partial suppression or enhancement of wild populations

Abstract

Genetic interventions to modify wild population densities are typically framed around pest suppression, with parallel approaches for boosting beneficial or endangered populations remaining largely undeveloped. Imposing a sustained but non-eliminative genetic load could in principle address both objectives, but existing designs rely on genes with intermediate fitness effects whose loads are difficult to predict under field conditions. Here we describe engineered balanced lethal systems, in which CRISPR-based gene drive establishes two complementing recessive-lethal alleles at a single locus, producing a sustained 50% load through Mendelian segregation. Modelling shows these systems spread from small releases, and that the resulting population-level consequences depend on density regulation and on the timing of lethality: the same 50% load can suppress pests, boost populations of beneficial or endangered species, dampen boom-bust cycles, or raise effective population size. Additional systems at independent loci scale the effect in stepwise increments, and a split-drive variant localises it geographically. These results demonstrate that gene drives imposing genetic load can be expanded beyond elimination, to support and preserve beneficial and endangered populations.