Simulation of the omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2 shows broad antibody escape, weakened ACE2 binding, and modest increase in furin binding

Abstract

The recent emergence of the omicron variant of the SARS-CoV-2 virus with large numbers of mutations has raised concern about a potential new surge in infections. Here we use molecular dynamics to study the biophysics of the interface of the omicron spike protein binding to (i) the ACE2 receptor protein, (ii) antibodies from all known binding regions, and (iii) the furin binding domain. Our simulations suggest that while there is significant reduction of antibody binding strength corresponding to escape, the omicron spike pays a cost in terms of weaker receptor binding. The furin cleavage domain is the same or weaker binding than the alpha variant, suggesting less viral load and disease intensity than the extant delta variant.