Coral and Marine Ecosystems Studies

Genomic repeatability and predictability of climate (mal)adaptation in a reef-building coral

Thermal adaptation in coral Stylophora pistillata is polygenic and largely population-specific across the Great Barrier Reef, yet range-wide models predict regional genotype-environment patterns and future maladaptation.

A rapidly closing window for coral persistence under global warming

Eco-evolutionary simulations of 3,806 Great Barrier Reef reefs project coral cover falling to ∼14% by 2040 under every emission scenario; recovery afterwards needs warming below 2°C.