Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management

Probabilistic projections of distributions of kin over the life course

The paper develops a method to project the probability distribution of kin numbers over the life course using combinatorics and matrix algebra, providing expected values and variance.

The formal demography of kinship. VII. Lifetime kin overlap within and across generations

The paper develops a demographic model to calculate lifetime kin overlap, showing how mortality and fertility affect kin interactions across generations.

Inequality, heterogeneity, and chance: Multiple factors and their interactions

The paper extends variance partitioning analysis to multiple factors and their interactions in heterogeneous populations, demonstrating that stochastic processes contribute more to variance in longevity than heterogeneity.

The formal demography of kinship VI: Demographic stochasticity, variance, and covariance in the kinship network

The paper develops a stochastic kinship model to project variances and covariances of kin age-stage distributions, improving upon deterministic models by incorporating demographic stochasticity.

Generating synthetic aging trajectories with a weighted network model using cross-sectional data

This paper develops a weighted network model to generate synthetic aging trajectories from cross-sectional health data, showing good agreement with observed mortality and health characteristics.

Intergenerational transmission of longevity is not affected by other familial factors: Evidence from 16,905 Dutch families from Zeeland, 1812-1962

The paper examines whether the survival advantage of offspring from long-lived parents is genetic or environmental, finding a genetic component that persists beyond age 5.