Ecosystem dynamics and resilience

Early warning signals of emerging infectious diseases

This study evaluates early warning signals for infectious disease outbreaks using critical slowing down indicators and time-to-event analyses across multiple diseases and regions, finding reliable lead times for intervention.

Local Nearby Bifurcations Lead to Synergies in Critical Slowing Down: the Case of Mushroom Bifurcations

The paper studies transient dynamics near multiple bifurcations in gene regulatory networks, showing synergistic effects and noise-driven control of transition timing.

Systematic analysis and optimization of early warning signals for critical transitions

This paper systematically analyzes and optimizes early warning signals for critical transitions using mathematical frameworks and empirical data.

Quantifying the impact of ecological memory on the dynamics of interacting communities

This paper quantifies how ecological memory affects community dynamics by incorporating it into models and shows its impact on resilience, stability, and state shifts.

Anticipating critical transitions in epithelial-hybrid-mesenchymal cell-fate determination

The paper identifies early warning signals for critical transitions between epithelial, hybrid epithelial/mesenchymal, and mesenchymal cell states using critical slowing down analysis of ZEB mRNA levels.

Population dynamics of synthetic Terraformation motifs

The paper develops mathematical models for four synthetic Terraformation motifs to understand their stability and effectiveness in preventing ecosystem collapse.