Ecosystem dynamics and resilience

Parameter estimation and identifiability analysis of stability and tipping points in potentially bistable ecosystems

The paper assesses whether standard ecological data can identify bistability and tipping points in ecosystems using synthetic data and profile likelihood analysis.

Ecological synchrony in human-modified landscapes under a changing climate

The paper reviews how human activities alter ecological synchrony across scales and provides case studies on quantifying these impacts using big data.

A nonequilibrium framework for community responses to pulse perturbations

The paper introduces a nonequilibrium framework to analyze community responses to pulse perturbations, showing that amplification of perturbed abundances depends on community state in the short term but not in the long term.

Early warning signals do not predict a warming-induced experimental epidemic

This study examines whether early warning signals can predict warming-induced epidemics in Daphnia magna-Ordospora colligata and finds they are not reliable indicators.

Global Stability and Tipping Point Prediction in a Coral-Algae Model Using Landscape-Flux Theory

This paper applies landscape-flux theory to a coral-reef model to identify early warning indicators for ecosystem transitions, finding that some indicators can predict tipping points earlier than traditional methods based on critical slowing down.

Revealing unseen dynamical regimes of ecosystems from population time-series data

This paper introduces an empirical dynamic model to predict unseen dynamical regimes in ecosystems using population time-series data and environmental drivers.

Local Nearby Bifurcations Lead to Synergies in Critical Slowing Down: the Case of Mushroom Bifurcations

The paper studies transient dynamics near multiple bifurcations in gene regulatory networks, showing synergistic effects and noise-driven control of transition timing.

Quantifying the impact of ecological memory on the dynamics of interacting communities

This paper quantifies how ecological memory affects community dynamics by incorporating it into models and shows its impact on resilience, stability, and state shifts.

Anticipating critical transitions in epithelial-hybrid-mesenchymal cell-fate determination

The paper identifies early warning signals for critical transitions between epithelial, hybrid epithelial/mesenchymal, and mesenchymal cell states using critical slowing down analysis of ZEB mRNA levels.

Population dynamics of synthetic Terraformation motifs

The paper develops mathematical models for four synthetic Terraformation motifs to understand their stability and effectiveness in preventing ecosystem collapse.