Meryl Theng

This paper introduces a real-time forecasting framework for livestock disease outbreaks, showing improved accuracy after the outbreak peak and consistent spatial forecast skill.

The paper describes a spatiotemporal mechanistic model for forecasting HPAI H5N1 and evaluates its performance in simulating outbreak dynamics and response readiness in Australia.

This paper estimates the potential carbon sequestration loss in Australia due to myrtle rust, finding a 1.6% annual reduction and $340 million AUD yearly value loss if the disease spreads widely.