Real world data based evaluation of a novel target-mediated drug disposition approximation model

Abstract

Target-mediated drug disposition (TMDD) models have been widely used to describe nonlinear pharmacokinetic profiles driven by high-affinity, low-capacity drug-target binding. A pTMDD model, derived by applying the Pade approximation of the quasi-steady-state (QSS) model (qTMDD) was previously proposed. Although pTMDD model showed a comparable estimation accuracy while maintaining computational efficiency, further validation in realistic clinical scenarios and comprehensive performance evaluations have been needed to assess its practical applicability. Here, we evaluated the pTMDD model using five clinical datasets and extended the previous study that focused on simulations. Using the full TMDD as a reference, the approximation models were compared in terms of the parameter estimation results (parameter estimates, relative standard error values and model diagnostics) and computational efficiency (estimation and bootstrap runtimes). The pTMDD model, previously validated in simulation settings, also preserved the estimation accuracy while reducing the computation time of the clinical data. Both pTMDD and qTMDD remained close to the full TMDD model, whereas Michaelis-Menten TMDD (mTMDD) model showed substantial discrepancies especially at low doses, including biased estimates for key TMDD-related parameters (e.g., kdeg, kint, krec, and kup) and higher objective function values. Moreover, pTMDD was faster than qTMDD in four of the five cases compared to the full TMDD. The time savings were particularly pronounced for larger datasets, supporting the computational efficiency of pTMDD. Q2PCONV, an R Shiny application that converts NONMEM code from qTMDD to pTMDD, was also developed, thereby making this new approximation more accessible to researchers. The findings support pTMDD as a practical alternative to existing TMDD approximation models. Author SummaryTarget-mediated drug disposition (TMDD) models describe a high-affinity, low-capacity binding between drug and its target. To avoid overparameterization, approximation models have been used. The two primary models are Michaelis-Menten model (mTMDD), which is accurate only at high doses, and Quasi-steady-state (qTMDD), which is accurate in wider ranges but requires longer runtime. We have proposed a new approximation model named pTMDD. Here, we evaluated pTMDD using five real clinical trial datasets to assess its practical usefulness. pTMDD produced parameter estimates closer to those from the full TMDD model and showed lower uncertainty than both the full TMDD and mTMDD models. In terms of computational efficiency, pTMDD reduced estimation time by an average of 11% and bootstrap time by an average of 6% relative to qTMDD across cases. In addition, we also developed an R shiny application to help researchers apply pTMDD in practice. Our work supports pTMDD as a practical and efficient tool for TMDD modeling in drug development.