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This paper applies a Bayesian framework to analyze infection biomarkers in HIV patients with pneumonia, identifying CRP, PCT, and lytA as significant predictors and demonstrating the value of continuous likelihood ratios over dichotomous cutoffs.

This study shows that intermediate planning horizons lead to prophylactic behavior adoption, which reduces epidemic peak size but prolongs the epidemic and may cause secondary waves.

This study shows that climate anomalies during the 2014-2016 Zika virus epidemic in Brazil result from multiple climate signals acting at different timescales, not just El Nino or climate change.

This study analyzes the survival of NIH-owned chimpanzees, finding no significant association between location or recent transfers and premature mortality.

The paper models mortality patterns using a process point of view framework, linking biological mechanisms to death as challenges to vitality, and applies it to Swedish mortality data to explain epidemiological transitions.

The paper models how waning immunity affects silent poliovirus circulation after stopping oral polio vaccination, finding that slower waning increases this risk.

This paper develops hypothesis tests to detect Neyman’s bias in case-control studies and applies them to three datasets, finding evidence of the bias in two cases.

This paper projects the spread of Zika virus in the Americas using a data-driven stochastic model, estimating introduction timing and infection patterns.

The paper develops a stochastic model to analyze how pathogens evolve and emerge in new hosts by linking within-host and between-host dynamics.

This study models the effectiveness of fractional-dose yellow fever vaccination in reducing infection attack rate, finding it effective if vaccine efficacy exceeds 20%.

The paper models the risk of Zika and chikungunya virus transmission in US cities by assessing conditions that enable local outbreaks from infected travelers.

This paper develops a method to infer transmission trees from phylogenies in partially sampled and ongoing outbreaks by incorporating within-host genetic diversity and unsampled intermediates.

The paper estimates R0 for ZIKV epidemics in Pacific islands using compartmental models and Bayesian techniques, finding R0 ranges from 1.5 to 4.1 with higher variability in smaller islands.

This study estimates the basic reproductive number (R0) and attack rates of Zika virus outbreaks in San Andres and Girardot, Colombia, finding higher transmission in Girardot and significant gender disparities in case detection.

The paper reviews ZIKV presence in animal species across Latin America, highlighting the need for epidemiological studies on wildlife's role in ZIKV transmission.

The paper shows that a person's first influenza infection provides lifelong protection against severe disease from novel HA subtypes of the same phylogenetic group, with 75% protection against severe infection and 80% against death for H5N1 and H7N9.

This study compares public perception of Zika virus and dengue severity in Malaysia and assesses changes in mosquito control practices before and after Zika was declared a PHEIC.

This study uses approximate Bayesian computation to infer transmission network structures from HIV phylogenetic trees, showing that within-host evolution affects network inference and that early epidemic stages allow better differentiation of contact networks.

The paper identifies 114 distinct infection patterns for chronic infections and highlights eight new patterns, expanding beyond the traditional superinfection and coinfection dichotomy.

This study examines how winter holidays affect influenza transmission patterns, finding that they delay epidemic peaks and shift disease risk from children to adults.