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bioRxivPathologyPreprint

Patterns of recurrence after curative-intent surgery for pancreas cancer reinforce the importance of locoregional control and adjuvant chemotherapy.

Rohan Munir, Kjetil Soreide, Rajan Ravindran, James J. Powell, Ewen M. HarrisoniD, Anya Adair, Stephen J. WigmoreiD, Rowan W. Parks, O. James Garden, Lorraine Kirkpatrick, Lucy R Wall, Alan Christie, Ian Penman, Norma McAvoy, Vicki Save, Alan Stockman, David Worrall, Hamish Ireland, Graeme Weir, Neil Masson, Chris Hay, James-Gordon Smith, Damian J. MoleiD

PDFDOI

Abstract

IntroductionThe pattern of recurrence after surgical excision of pancreas cancer may guide alternative pre-operative strategies to either detect occult disease or need for chemotherapy. This study investigated patterns of recurrence after pancreatic surgery.\n\nMethodsRecurrence patterns were described in a series of resected pancreas cancers over a 2-year period and recurrence risk expressed as odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence interval (C.I.). Survival was displayed by Kaplan-Meier curves.\n\nResultsOf 107 pancreas resections, 69 (65%) had pancreatic cancer. R0 resection was achieved in 21 of 69 (30.4%). Analysis was based on 66 patients who survived 30 days after surgery with median follow up 21 months. Recurrence developed in 41 (62.1%) patients with median time to first recurrence of 13.3 months (interquartile range 6.9, 20.8 months). Recurrence site was most frequently locoregional (n=28, 42%), followed by liver (n=23, 35%), lymph nodes (n=21, 32%), and lungs (n=13, 19%). In patients with recurrence, 9 of 41 had single site recurrence; the remaining 32 patients had more than one site of recurrence. Locoregional recurrence was associated with R+ resection (53% vs 25% for R+ vs R0, respectively; OR 3.5, 95% C.I. 1.1-11.2; P=0.034). Venous invasion was associated with overall recurrence risk (OR 3.3, 95% C.I. 1.1-9.4; P=0.025). In multivariable analysis, R-stage and adjuvant chemotherapy predicted longer survival.\n\nDiscussionThe predominant locoregional recurrence pattern, multiple sites of recurrence and a high R+ resection rate reflect the difficulty in achieving initial local disease control.

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