Histology and spatial transcriptomic integration revealed infiltration zone with specific cell composition as a prognostic hotspot in glioblastoma

BackgroundGlioblastoma (GBM), the most aggressive primary brain tumor, has a median survival of approximately 15 months. Twenty percent of patients survive beyond three years, but known clinical factors like age, performance status, resection extent, and MGMT promoter methylation status do not fully explain the observed outcomes. ObjectiveOur objective was to identify novel histology derived biomarkers associated with end-of-spectrum overall survival (OS) to provide novel biological insight with a translational potential. MethodsWe analyzed a total of 748 GBM patients from 3 different cohorts, uniquely enriched in long survivors (n=98 with overall survival (OS) > 5y including n=196 with OS[≥]3y), with clinical data and H&E slides obtained from the primary tumor at baseline. We propose an interpretable machine learning (ML) methodology for the discovery of histological biomarkers. Our method learned to segment each H&E slide into three distinct regions associated with long-term survival, short-term survival, and non-informative tissue. We characterized these regions by integrating unsupervised learning, nuclei segmentation, blood vessels detection, pathologist annotations, and multimodal data including spatial transcriptomics from n=31 patients of the GBM MOSAIC dataset to discover fully interpretable biomarkers. ResultsOur OS prediction model using histology and clinical data as input achieved an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.85 for the classification of patients between OS View larger version (43K): org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@45e619org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@105a4b0org.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@17f257dorg.highwire.dtl.DTLVardef@7669b4_HPS_FORMAT_FIGEXP M_FIG C_FIG