AI-derived Protein Structures Validation: AlphaFold2 Models in the Twilight Zone

Abstract

In any field, unquestioningly accepting artificial intelligence (AI) results should be considered bad practise. Here, we devised a comparative modelling-based strategy for validating protein structures that exploits the well-known observation that protein folds are far more conserved than protein sequences. We identify proteins with a similar fold to the AlphaFold-generated query protein and determine their structural alignment to the query. The hypothesis is that if the sequence alignment coincides with the structural alignment, then the structure is validated. The strategy is implemented on a helix-by-helix and strand-by-strand basis using a multi-template pairwise local profile alignment method that works well into the twilight zone. The method is illustrated by application to the transmembrane transporter PEPT1, for which the structure is known, and the S-deacylases ABHD13 and ABHD16A, for which only AI-generated models exist. ABHD16A is particularly challenging because a sequence alignment search with BLASTp does not reveal any structural homologues and therefore requires work with extremely remote homologues; however, both models are validated through this strategy and are stable during classical molecular dynamics simulations. The ability of the strategy to identify errors is assessed with reference to misaligned ABHD13 models and misfolded decoy proteins.