Species Distribution and Climate Change

A multi-modal ResNet model to predict coastal fish occurrences using a seascape approach.

The paper develops a multi-modal ResNet model to predict coastal fish occurrences using environmental seascape data, achieving high performance for some species but lower for others.

Beyond species-level planning: The role of bioclimatic variation within species distributions

This study compares species-level and bioclimatic component prioritization in conservation planning, finding that bioclimatic prioritization better captures environmental heterogeneity and niche diversity.

Synergies and trade-offs between maintaining climate niche variability and preserving climate stability

This study identifies spatial priorities for protecting climatic niche variability and stability in European vertebrates, finding overlaps and trade-offs between conservation strategies.

Predicting the distribution of common wild mammal species across Europe - are there sufficient occurrence data?

The paper assesses the adequacy of occurrence data for predicting the distribution of common wild mammal species across Europe and identifies data gaps.

Disparity in the Distribution of Suitable Habitat: A Metric for Capturing and Tracking Responses to Urbanized Landscapes

The paper introduces HDURBAN, a metric using ROC-AUC to quantify species' responses to urbanization, validated across multiple scenarios and species.

Extreme weather risk shrinks range size estimates and alters biodiversity predictions

This study links bird observations to extreme weather risk maps, showing that accounting for extreme weather reduces species range sizes and biodiversity estimates.

Hornbills as drivers of plant range shifts under climate change

This study shows that hornbills significantly influence plant range shifts under climate change, with dispersal limitation being a key constraint.

Uncertainty in blacklisting potential Pacific plant invaders using species distribution models

This study quantifies uncertainty in species distribution model-based blacklists for invasive plants by evaluating the impact of occurrence data, environmental predictors, algorithms, and thresholding methods.

The Brightening Sky and the Bug's Advance: Unraveling the Drivers of Oxycarenus lavaterae Range Expansion

This study identifies temperature and solar radiation as key drivers of Oxycarenus lavaterae range expansion using Maxent models and occurrence data.

Seeing Above and Below the Canopy: Modeling and Interpreting Species Occupancy with Multimodal Habitat Representations

This paper improves species-habitat modeling by integrating AI-derived multimodal habitat data and interpretable AI features for better conservation planning.

Scaling ecological niches from individuals to populations and beyond

This paper introduces a framework to derive population and organismal-level ecological niches from individual-level niches, showing how higher-level niche properties can be partitioned into individual contributions and how species-level niche shifts can be estimated from individual responses.

Red List criteria underestimate climate-related extinction risk of range-shifting species

This study shows that IUCN Red List methods underestimate extinction risk for species shifting ranges due to climate change, and suggests updates to the guidelines.

Finding Inter-species Associations on Large Citizen Science Datasets

This paper introduces a method to identify species associations from citizen science data by analyzing spatial overlaps and filtering spurious correlations.

Landscape suitability and range expansion estimates for the North American Interior Population of trumpeter swans

The paper models landscape suitability and range expansion for trumpeter swans, estimating a 4.4% annual expansion rate from 2023 to 2033.

Including biotic factors does not improve species distribution models across three trophic levels

This study evaluates whether including biotic factors improves species distribution models for three trophic levels, finding no significant difference in predictive power between models with abiotic-only, biotic-only, or combined factors.

Mapping the habitat suitability of Culex pipiens in Europe using ensemble bioclimatic modelling

This study maps the habitat suitability of Culex pipiens in Europe using ensemble bioclimatic modelling and identifies imperviousness as the most influential predictor.

Distribution patterns of two widespread, co-dominant savanna tree species of the Indian subcontinent under current and future climates

This study models the current and future distributions of two dominant Indian savanna tree species under climate change, finding significant habitat loss by 2100.

Herbarium specimens reveal a constrained seasonal climate niche despite diverged annual climates across a wildflower clade

The paper uses herbarium specimens to show that closely related wildflower species, despite occupying diverse annual climates, track similar seasonal climate conditions through phenological shifts and spatial refugia.

Shifting human-rodent interfaces under climate change: modeling the distribution of the reservoir for Junin virus and associated drivers

This study models how climate change affects the distribution of the Junin virus reservoir, Calomys musculinus, identifying potential disease transmission hotspots under different climate scenarios.

The Future of Juniperus procera in Ethiopia under Climate Change Secnarios - Implications for Ecosystem Rehabilitation and Biodiversity Conservation

This study predicts the future distribution of Juniperus procera under climate change scenarios and recommends conservation strategies to mitigate habitat loss and support adaptation.

Assessment of environmental variables for species distribution modelling: insights from the mosaic distribution of red- and yellow-bellied toads

This study improves species distribution modelling by identifying ecological parameters that reflect species-specific habitat preferences in red- and yellow-bellied toads.

Assisted colonisation prospects for the black-veined white butterfly in England

This paper assesses the feasibility of reintroducing the black-veined white butterfly in England by evaluating habitat suitability, climate compatibility, and dispersal potential.

The accelerating exposure of European protected areas to climate change

This study assesses climate change exposure across European protected areas and species, identifying regions with high risk and recommending network connectivity for adaptation.

Eltonian niche modelling: applying joint hierarchical niche models to ecological networks

This paper adapts joint species distribution models to ecological networks to model Eltonian niches, revealing trait and phylogeny relationships and enabling interaction predictions without empirical data.

Geographic redistributions are insufficient to mitigate the erosion of species environmental niches

The paper assesses how North American bird species mitigated climate niche loss through geographical redistribution over 20 years, finding partial success with significant remaining exposure to warming.

Forecasting range shifts of a dioecious plant species under climate change

The paper develops demographic models to forecast range shifts of a dioecious plant species under climate change, showing that sex-specific responses affect predictions.

Directing conservation action for the Critically Endangered Philippine Eagle to mitigate mining impacts and maximize indigenous land management

The paper uses species distribution modeling and spatial analysis to identify high-suitability habitats for the Philippine Eagle overlapping with mining concessions and indigenous lands, highlighting conservation risks and proposing mitigation strategies.

The cost of data aggregation: spatiotemporal compression obscures causal attribution in biodiversity monitoring

This study shows that aggregating spatiotemporal biodiversity data reduces causal inference accuracy, with full-resolution models outperforming compressed time series and distribution models.

A Framework for Transparent and Repeatable Species Range Maps

This paper develops a framework for creating transparent and repeatable species range maps using open-source tools and data, demonstrating its application to the Fisher species in the U.S.

Contrasted effect of climate and anthropogenic change on future invasion risk of a solitary bee Amegilla pulchra

This study predicts the future invasion risk of Amegilla pulchra under climate and anthropogenic changes, finding higher risks in non-native regions and contrasting effects between native and non-native areas.