A core NRF2 gene set defined through comprehensive transcriptomic analysis predicts selective drug resistance and poor multi-cancer prognosis

The NRF2-KEAP1 pathway plays an important role in the cellular response to oxidative stress but may also contribute to metabolic changes and drug resistance in cancer. We investigated the activation of NRF2 in human cancers and fibroblast cells through KEAP1 inhibition and cancer associated KEAP1/NRF2 mutations. We define a core set of 14 upregulated NRF2 target genes from seven RNA-Sequencing databases that we generated and analyzed, which we validated this gene set through analyses of published databases and gene sets. An NRF2 activity score based on expression of these core target genes correlates with resistance to drugs such as PX-12 and necrosulfonamide but not to paclitaxel or bardoxolone methyl. We validated these findings and also found NRF2 activation led to radioresistance in cancer cell lines. Finally, our NRF2 score is prognostic for cancer survival and validated in additional independent cohorts for novel cancers types not associated with NRF2-KEAP1 mutations. These analyses define a core NRF2 gene set that is robust, versatile, and useful as a NRF2 biomarker and for predicting drug resistance and cancer prognosis.