Using symptom-based case predictions to identify host genetic factors that contribute to COVID-19 susceptibility
Irene V. van BloklandiD, Pauline LantingiD, Anil P. S. OriiD, Judith M. VonkiD, Robert WarmerdamiD, Johanna C. HerkertiD, Floranne BoulogneiD, Annique ClaringbouldiD, Esteban A. Lopera-MayaiD, Meike BartelsiD, Jouke‐Jan HottengaiD, Andrea GannaiD, Juha M KarjalaineniD, Lifelines COVID-19 cohort study, The COVID-19 Host Genetics Initiative, Caroline HaywardiD, Chloe Fawns‐RitchieiD, Archie I CampbelliD, David John PorteousiD, Elizabeth T. CirulliiD, Kelly M. Schiabor BarrettiD, Stephen RiffleiD, Alexandre BolzeiD, Simon J. WhiteiD, Francisco TanudjajaiD, , Lude FrankeiD
Abstract
Epidemiological and genetic studies on COVID-19 are currently hindered by inconsistent and limited testing policies to confirm SARS-CoV-2 infection. Recently, it was shown that it is possible to predict potential COVID-19 cases using cross-sectional self-reported disease-related symptoms. Using a previously reported COVID-19 prediction model, we show that it is possible to conduct a GWAS on predicted COVID-19, and this GWAS benefits from the larger sample size to provide new insights into the genetic susceptibility of the disease. Furthermore, we find suggestive evidence that genetic variants for other viral infectious diseases do not overlap with COVID-19 susceptibility and that severity of COVID-19 may have a different genetic architecture compared to COVID-19 susceptibility. Our findings demonstrate the added value of using self-reported symptom assessments to quickly monitor novel endemic viral outbreaks in a scenario of limited testing. Should there be another outbreak of a novel infectious disease, we recommend repeatedly collecting data of disease-related symptoms.
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