Rank Selection Genetic Algorithm optimises robust parameter estimation for systems biology models

Abstract

The ability to reliably predict and infer cellular responses to environmental exposures would offer a major advance in the investigation of immune regulation in health and disease. One possible approach is the use of in silico modelling. Design of such a mathematical kinetic model would be based on existing knowledge of a biological system and utilise a partial data set to parameterise. However, the process of parameter estimation, key for the accuracy of the model, is difficult to conduct by hand, and thus a computational alternative is necessary. We report the utility of Genetic Algorithm with Rank Selection (GARS) as a parameter estimation tool on multiple biological models, including heat shock, signal transduction via ERK, circadian rhythm and NF{kappa}B systems, where it showed strong accuracy and superiority to the Extended Kalman Filter method, Algebraic Difference Equations, and MATLAB fminsearch approaches. GARS parameter estimation is a valuable tool for biological data because it reliably infers system behaviour from partial data sets, allowing for the prediction of cellular responses to environmental exposures.